Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

30 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.4% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 57.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.7% 4.21 DRAW 23.6% 4.03 AWAY 53.7% 1.77

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.2% win probability, compared with 53.7% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 17.0 · On target 8.8

Recent attacking output favours Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Bnei Musmus ↓ -0.19 (-4.3%)

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik ↑ +0.17 (+10.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.