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Israel Liga Alef North · IL

Hapoel Bnei Jat United vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

01 Oct 2026 · 15:30
NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp
Hapoel Bnei Jat United
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HOME 27.5% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 47.9%
HOME 29.2% 3.27 DRAW 25.4% 3.75 AWAY 45.4% 2.10

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Hapoel Bnei Jat United Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Shots 9.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Hapoel Bnei Jat United Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Hapoel Bnei Jat United Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Bnei Jat United ↑ +0.17 (+5.3%)
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed ↑ +0.10 (+5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.