Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

30 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.1% DRAW 16.0% AWAY 75.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.0% 10.00 DRAW 17.2% 5.25 AWAY 73.8% 1.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Ironi Arraba Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Migdal Haemeq, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Ironi Arraba Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Ironi Arraba Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Migdal Haemeq.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Ironi Arraba = (0.0%)

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.