Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher

23 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Ironi Nesher

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 38.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.3% 2.50 DRAW 26.7% 3.40 AWAY 36.9% 2.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ironi Nesher has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Ironi Nesher

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 15.0 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours Ironi Nesher, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Ironi Nesher

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Ironi Nesher has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Ironi Nesher

The combined recent performance profile favours Ironi Nesher.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel ↑ +0.10 (+4.2%)

Ironi Nesher ↑ +0.16 (+6.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.