Maccabi Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

23 Sep 2026 · 18:20

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Maccabi Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.5% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 52.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.1% 3.63 DRAW 24.4% 3.72 AWAY 50.5% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Shots 6.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Maccabi Umm al-Fahm ↓ -1.18 (-24.5%)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm ↑ +0.27 (+17.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.