Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel

23 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 26.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.1% 1.83 DRAW 25.3% 3.62 AWAY 24.6% 3.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Tirat Karmel has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Tirat Karmel, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Hapoel Tirat Karmel has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Hapoel Tirat Karmel

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Tirat Karmel.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye ↓ -0.22 (-10.6%)

Hapoel Tirat Karmel ↑ +0.83 (+28.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.