Belgrano vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

21 Sep 2026 · 00:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Belgrano

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.2% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 7.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.9% 1.46 DRAW 24.2% 4.04 AWAY 8.9% 11.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Belgrano has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Belgrano Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Shots 18.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Belgrano, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Belgrano Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Belgrano has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Belgrano Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

The combined recent performance profile favours Belgrano.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Belgrano ↓ -0.05 (-3.5%)

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ↑ +2.00 (+25.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.