Asante Kotoko vs Karela United FC

01 Oct 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Asante Kotoko

Karela United FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.8% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 16.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.3% 1.69 DRAW 26.0% 3.67 AWAY 17.7% 5.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Asante Kotoko

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Asante Kotoko Karela United FC

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 5.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Asante Kotoko Karela United FC

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Asante Kotoko has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Asante Kotoko Karela United FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Asante Kotoko.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Asante Kotoko ↑ +0.03 (+1.6%)

Karela United FC ↑ +0.40 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.