JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

JOS Watergraafsmeer

TEC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.0% DRAW 16.9% AWAY 63.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.4% 5.09 DRAW 17.9% 5.50 AWAY 62.7% 1.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: TEC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

JOS Watergraafsmeer TEC

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours TEC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JOS Watergraafsmeer TEC

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0

JOS Watergraafsmeer has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JOS Watergraafsmeer TEC

The combined recent performance profile favours TEC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

JOS Watergraafsmeer ↑ +0.69 (+15.7%)

TEC ↑ +0.08 (+5.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.