CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Cacahuatique

24 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

CD Luis Angel Firpo

CD Cacahuatique

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.9% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 13.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.4% 1.48 DRAW 22.2% 4.30 AWAY 13.4% 7.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Luis Angel Firpo

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Cacahuatique

Shots 14.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Luis Angel Firpo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Cacahuatique

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Cacahuatique

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CD Luis Angel Firpo ↓ -0.21 (-12.4%)

CD Cacahuatique ↑ +2.86 (+67.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.