Alianza FC vs Fuerte San Francisco

24 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Alianza FC

Fuerte San Francisco

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.8% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 15.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.7% 1.57 DRAW 23.8% 4.00 AWAY 15.4% 6.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Alianza FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alianza FC Fuerte San Francisco

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alianza FC Fuerte San Francisco

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alianza FC Fuerte San Francisco

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alianza FC ↓ -0.08 (-5.0%)

Fuerte San Francisco ↑ +1.84 (+42.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.