IJsselmeervogels vs VV Gemert

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

IJsselmeervogels

VV Gemert

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.1% DRAW 16.6% AWAY 9.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.4% 1.30 DRAW 17.7% 5.30 AWAY 9.9% 9.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

IJsselmeervogels has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

IJsselmeervogels VV Gemert

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

IJsselmeervogels VV Gemert

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.3

IJsselmeervogels has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

IJsselmeervogels VV Gemert

The combined recent performance profile favours IJsselmeervogels.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

IJsselmeervogels ↑ +0.03 (+2.4%)

VV Gemert ↓ -0.25 (-2.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.