Skjetten vs Skjervøy

22 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

Skjetten

Skjervøy

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.2% DRAW 16.7% AWAY 14.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.7% 1.44 DRAW 18.7% 5.00 AWAY 16.6% 5.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Skjetten clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.2% win probability, compared with 64.7% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Skjetten

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Skjetten Skjervøy

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 1.0 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours Skjetten, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Skjetten Skjervøy

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Skjervøy has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Skjetten Skjervøy

The combined recent performance profile favours Skjetten.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Skjetten = (0.0%)

Skjervøy ↑ +1.14 (+25.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.