Sparta Nijkerk vs RKSV UDI '19

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Sparta Nijkerk

RKSV UDI '19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 32.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% 2.12 DRAW 22.3% 4.33 AWAY 32.2% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: RKSV UDI '19

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sparta Nijkerk RKSV UDI '19

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 14.0 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours RKSV UDI '19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sparta Nijkerk RKSV UDI '19

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Sparta Nijkerk has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sparta Nijkerk RKSV UDI '19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Sparta Nijkerk ↓ -0.23 (-9.8%)

RKSV UDI '19 ↑ +0.64 (+27.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.