CD Olimpia vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque

21 Sep 2026 · 01:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

CD Olimpia

CA Independiente Siguatepeque

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.7% DRAW 18.4% AWAY 9.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.4% 1.33 DRAW 19.7% 4.70 AWAY 10.9% 8.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Olimpia

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Olimpia CA Independiente Siguatepeque

Shots 15.3 · On target 7.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours CD Olimpia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Olimpia CA Independiente Siguatepeque

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Olimpia CA Independiente Siguatepeque

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Olimpia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Olimpia = (0.0%)

CA Independiente Siguatepeque ↑ +0.10 (+1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.