Juticalpa vs CD Marathon

21 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Juticalpa

CD Marathon

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.1% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 60.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.0% 7.39 DRAW 24.1% 4.00 AWAY 62.9% 1.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Marathon

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Juticalpa CD Marathon

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Marathon, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Juticalpa CD Marathon

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Juticalpa CD Marathon

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Juticalpa ↓ -0.91 (-11.0%)

CD Marathon ↑ +0.11 (+8.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.