Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Santa Fe

29 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Deportivo Pereira

Independiente Santa Fe

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.6% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 54.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.4% 4.17 DRAW 23.7% 4.13 AWAY 52.9% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Independiente Santa Fe

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Pereira Independiente Santa Fe

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Pereira Independiente Santa Fe

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Independiente Santa Fe has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Pereira Independiente Santa Fe

The combined recent performance profile favours Independiente Santa Fe.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Pereira ↑ +0.52 (+14.2%)

Independiente Santa Fe ↓ -0.12 (-6.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.