Guarani de Venancio Aires vs Uniao Frederiquense

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Guarani de Venancio Aires

Uniao Frederiquense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.7% DRAW 30.9% AWAY 40.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.6% 3.02 DRAW 30.8% 3.00 AWAY 38.6% 2.39

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Uniao Frederiquense has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guarani de Venancio Aires Uniao Frederiquense

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Uniao Frederiquense, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guarani de Venancio Aires Uniao Frederiquense

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guarani de Venancio Aires Uniao Frederiquense

The combined recent performance profile favours Uniao Frederiquense.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Guarani de Venancio Aires ↑ +0.32 (+11.7%)

Uniao Frederiquense ↑ +0.11 (+4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.