CSE U20 vs Desportiva Alianca U20

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

CSE U20

Desportiva Alianca U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.7% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 14.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.1% 1.65 DRAW 24.8% 4.00 AWAY 15.2% 6.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CSE U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSE U20 Desportiva Alianca U20

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSE U20 Desportiva Alianca U20

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0

CSE U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSE U20 Desportiva Alianca U20

The combined recent performance profile favours CSE U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CSE U20 ↓ -0.02 (-1.2%)

Desportiva Alianca U20 ↑ +2.20 (+50.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.