USM Khenchela vs ES Ben Aknoun

18 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

USM Khenchela

ES Ben Aknoun

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% DRAW 32.1% AWAY 22.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.2% 2.16 DRAW 31.8% 3.00 AWAY 24.0% 3.98

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: USM Khenchela

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

USM Khenchela ES Ben Aknoun

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

USM Khenchela ES Ben Aknoun

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

USM Khenchela ES Ben Aknoun

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

USM Khenchela ↑ +0.08 (+3.8%)

ES Ben Aknoun ↑ +0.58 (+16.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.