Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Cobreloa

Santiago Wanderers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.9% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 22.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.1% 1.71 DRAW 23.8% 3.90 AWAY 22.1% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Santiago Wanderers

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cobreloa Santiago Wanderers

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cobreloa Santiago Wanderers

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cobreloa Santiago Wanderers

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Cobreloa ↓ -0.19 (-9.8%)

Santiago Wanderers ↑ +0.80 (+23.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.