AS Arapiraquense U20 vs Inter Alagoano U20

20 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

AS Arapiraquense U20

Inter Alagoano U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 25.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% 1.91 DRAW 26.1% 3.50 AWAY 26.1% 3.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: AS Arapiraquense U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AS Arapiraquense U20 Inter Alagoano U20

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AS Arapiraquense U20 Inter Alagoano U20

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5

AS Arapiraquense U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AS Arapiraquense U20 Inter Alagoano U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AS Arapiraquense U20 ↓ -0.04 (-2.1%)

Inter Alagoano U20 ↑ +0.07 (+1.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.