Boston River vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo

23 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Boston River

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 26.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% 2.03 DRAW 28.6% 3.25 AWAY 25.7% 3.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Atletico Fenix Montevideo

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boston River Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boston River Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boston River Atletico Fenix Montevideo

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico Fenix Montevideo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Boston River ↑ +0.36 (+21.8%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo ↓ -0.89 (-19.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.