Cerro Largo vs Rentistas

30 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Cerro Largo

Rentistas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.8% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 16.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% 1.59 DRAW 24.1% 3.95 AWAY 15.9% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Rentistas

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cerro Largo Rentistas

Shots 13.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cerro Largo Rentistas

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cerro Largo Rentistas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cerro Largo ↑ +0.11 (+7.3%)

Rentistas ↑ +1.00 (+20.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.