Liverpool Montevideo vs Colon FC

23 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Liverpool Montevideo

Colon FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.1% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 14.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.6% 1.51 DRAW 23.8% 3.90 AWAY 14.6% 6.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Liverpool Montevideo

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liverpool Montevideo Colon FC

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liverpool Montevideo Colon FC

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liverpool Montevideo Colon FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Liverpool Montevideo = (0.0%)

Colon FC ↑ +0.88 (+16.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.