Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs Mictlán

01 Oct 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Mictlán

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.9% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 25.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% 2.24 DRAW 27.6% 3.70 AWAY 27.0% 3.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Mictlán

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Mictlán

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Mictlán

The combined recent performance profile favours Nueva Santa Rosa CDF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF ↑ +0.41 (+22.2%)

Mictlán ↑ +0.18 (+5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.