AFF Guatemala vs Deportivo Fraijanes

30 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

AFF Guatemala

Deportivo Fraijanes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.3% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 26.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.0% 1.85 DRAW 24.1% 3.98 AWAY 24.0% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Fraijanes

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AFF Guatemala Deportivo Fraijanes

Shots 6.5 · On target 1.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Fraijanes, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AFF Guatemala Deportivo Fraijanes

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Deportivo Fraijanes has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AFF Guatemala Deportivo Fraijanes

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Fraijanes.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

AFF Guatemala ↓ -0.16 (-7.8%)

Deportivo Fraijanes ↑ +0.75 (+23.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.