Mictlán vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas

27 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Mictlán

CS Deportivo Sacachispas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 26.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% 2.20 DRAW 29.3% 3.33 AWAY 26.4% 3.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mictlán

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mictlán CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mictlán CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mictlán CS Deportivo Sacachispas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Mictlán ↑ +0.57 (+35.0%)

CS Deportivo Sacachispas ↓ -0.80 (-17.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.