Deportivo Fraijanes vs CSD Sayaxche

27 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Deportivo Fraijanes

CSD Sayaxche

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.1% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.1% 1.97 DRAW 25.1% 3.77 AWAY 26.7% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CSD Sayaxche

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Fraijanes CSD Sayaxche

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Fraijanes CSD Sayaxche

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Deportivo Fraijanes has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Fraijanes CSD Sayaxche

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Fraijanes ↑ +0.17 (+9.4%)

CSD Sayaxche ↓ -0.36 (-9.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.