CD Achuapa vs Mictlán

20 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

CD Achuapa

Mictlán

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.6% DRAW 32.6% AWAY 25.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% 2.26 DRAW 31.9% 3.05 AWAY 25.2% 3.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mictlán

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Achuapa Mictlán

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 14.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Mictlán, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Achuapa Mictlán

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

CD Achuapa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Achuapa Mictlán

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Achuapa ↑ +0.44 (+24.2%)

Mictlán ↑ +0.36 (+10.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.