CSD Amatitlan vs Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

30 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

CSD Amatitlan

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 32.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.5% 2.42 DRAW 27.5% 3.47 AWAY 33.0% 2.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CSD Amatitlan

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSD Amatitlan Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSD Amatitlan Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSD Amatitlan Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CSD Amatitlan = (0.0%)

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.