Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Huehuetecos FC

27 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

Huehuetecos FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.7% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 16.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.0% 1.66 DRAW 25.2% 3.82 AWAY 16.8% 5.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Huehuetecos FC

Shots 6.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 0.5 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Huehuetecos FC

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 0.0 · On target allowed 0.0

Huehuetecos FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Huehuetecos FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Huehuetecos FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa = (0.0%)

Huehuetecos FC ↑ +1.47 (+34.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.