Dukla Praha vs FK Jablonec

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Dukla Praha

FK Jablonec

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.9% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 56.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.6% 4.86 DRAW 23.7% 4.03 AWAY 56.7% 1.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Jablonec

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dukla Praha FK Jablonec

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 16.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours FK Jablonec, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dukla Praha FK Jablonec

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dukla Praha FK Jablonec

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Dukla Praha ↑ +0.36 (+8.0%)

FK Jablonec ↓ -0.12 (-6.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.