Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras 1932 U23

29 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Santa Clara U23

Felgueiras 1932 U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.8% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 24.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.1% 1.83 DRAW 25.0% 3.75 AWAY 24.0% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Felgueiras 1932 U23

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santa Clara U23 Felgueiras 1932 U23

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santa Clara U23 Felgueiras 1932 U23

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Felgueiras 1932 U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santa Clara U23 Felgueiras 1932 U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Santa Clara U23 ↑ +0.09 (+5.3%)

Felgueiras 1932 U23 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.