Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23

22 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Santa Clara U23

Portimonense U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 20.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.8% 1.65 DRAW 24.0% 3.84 AWAY 20.2% 4.56

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Santa Clara U23

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santa Clara U23 Portimonense U23

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Santa Clara U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santa Clara U23 Portimonense U23

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santa Clara U23 Portimonense U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Santa Clara U23 ↑ +0.06 (+3.6%)

Portimonense U23 ↓ -0.41 (-8.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.