FK Union Carl Berner vs KFUM 2

29 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp

FK Union Carl Berner

KFUM 2

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.7% DRAW 13.8% AWAY 16.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.5% 1.46 DRAW 15.9% 6.01 AWAY 18.7% 5.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FK Union Carl Berner clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.7% win probability, compared with 65.5% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Union Carl Berner has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Union Carl Berner KFUM 2

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Union Carl Berner KFUM 2

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.8

FK Union Carl Berner has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Union Carl Berner KFUM 2

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Union Carl Berner.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Union Carl Berner ↓ -0.06 (-4.2%)

KFUM 2 ↑ +1.25 (+32.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.