Cerro Porteno vs Rubio Nu

01 Oct 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Cerro Porteno

Rubio Nu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.1% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 20.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.8% 1.74 DRAW 24.9% 3.84 AWAY 20.2% 4.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cerro Porteno Rubio Nu

Shots 13.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cerro Porteno Rubio Nu

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cerro Porteno Rubio Nu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cerro Porteno ↑ +0.13 (+6.5%)

Rubio Nu ↑ +0.15 (+4.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.