Khor Fakkan vs Al Jazira SC

02 Oct 2026 · 17:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

Khor Fakkan

Al Jazira SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.2% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 63.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.9% 5.10 DRAW 21.1% 4.58 AWAY 60.0% 1.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Jazira SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.0% win probability, compared with 60.0% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Jazira SC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Khor Fakkan Al Jazira SC

Shots 5.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 16.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Jazira SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Khor Fakkan Al Jazira SC

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Al Jazira SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Khor Fakkan Al Jazira SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Jazira SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Khor Fakkan ↑ +1.18 (+29.9%)

Al Jazira SC ↓ -0.19 (-10.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.