Timor Leste vs Cambodia

30 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Timor Leste

Cambodia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.8% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 64.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.0% 6.63 DRAW 20.8% 4.45 AWAY 65.2% 1.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Timor Leste

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Timor Leste Cambodia

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Timor Leste, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Timor Leste Cambodia

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Cambodia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Timor Leste Cambodia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Timor Leste ↓ -6.27 (-48.6%)

Cambodia ↑ +0.24 (+20.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.