Stjarnan (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

02 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Stjarnan (W)

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 30.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% 2.05 DRAW 22.0% 4.39 AWAY 30.9% 3.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stjarnan (W) Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stjarnan (W) Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 7.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stjarnan (W) Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Stjarnan (W) = (0.0%)

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) ↑ +0.37 (+13.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.