Fukushima Utd vs Mito Hollyhock

29 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Fukushima Utd

Mito Hollyhock

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.3% DRAW 16.1% AWAY 68.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.5% 7.65 DRAW 15.9% 6.00 AWAY 71.6% 1.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Fukushima Utd relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 15.3% win probability, compared with 12.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fukushima Utd

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fukushima Utd Mito Hollyhock

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Fukushima Utd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fukushima Utd Mito Hollyhock

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fukushima Utd Mito Hollyhock

The combined recent performance profile favours Fukushima Utd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Fukushima Utd ↓ -2.85 (-27.1%)

Mito Hollyhock ↑ +0.15 (+13.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.