US Chaouia vs NRB Beni Oulbene

18 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

US Chaouia

NRB Beni Oulbene

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.2% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 5.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.5% 1.28 DRAW 20.6% 4.57 AWAY 5.9% 16.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

US Chaouia has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

US Chaouia NRB Beni Oulbene

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 4.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours US Chaouia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

US Chaouia NRB Beni Oulbene

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.5

US Chaouia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

US Chaouia NRB Beni Oulbene

The combined recent performance profile favours US Chaouia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

US Chaouia ↑ +0.03 (+2.4%)

NRB Beni Oulbene = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.