MO Bejaia vs MO Constantine

18 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

MO Bejaia

MO Constantine

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.8% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 14.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.1% 1.62 DRAW 26.8% 3.50 AWAY 15.0% 6.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: MO Bejaia

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MO Bejaia MO Constantine

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MO Bejaia MO Constantine

Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.8

MO Bejaia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MO Bejaia MO Constantine

The combined recent performance profile favours MO Bejaia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

MO Bejaia ↑ +0.22 (+15.4%)

MO Constantine ↓ -3.05 (-32.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.