Gainare Tottori vs V-Varen Nagasaki

29 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Gainare Tottori

V-Varen Nagasaki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.5% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 67.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.4% 6.60 DRAW 20.0% 4.75 AWAY 65.7% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

V-Varen Nagasaki has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gainare Tottori V-Varen Nagasaki

Shots 9.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours V-Varen Nagasaki, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gainare Tottori V-Varen Nagasaki

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.0

V-Varen Nagasaki has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gainare Tottori V-Varen Nagasaki

The combined recent performance profile favours V-Varen Nagasaki.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Gainare Tottori ↓ -1.40 (-17.5%)

V-Varen Nagasaki ↑ +0.18 (+14.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.