Burgos (W) vs CFF Caceres Women

30 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.3 pp

Burgos (W)

CFF Caceres Women

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 45.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.8% 4.00 DRAW 24.8% 3.85 AWAY 51.4% 1.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Burgos (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 29.2% win probability, compared with 23.8% implied by the market. The 5.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Burgos (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Burgos (W) CFF Caceres Women

Shots 14.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Burgos (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Burgos (W) CFF Caceres Women

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Burgos (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Burgos (W) CFF Caceres Women

The combined recent performance profile favours Burgos (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Burgos (W) = (0.0%)

CFF Caceres Women = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.