Kawasaki Frontale U21 vs Tokyo Verdy U21

03 Oct 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Kawasaki Frontale U21

Tokyo Verdy U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% DRAW 19.9% AWAY 25.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.8% 1.84 DRAW 21.3% 4.47 AWAY 26.9% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Kawasaki Frontale U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.7% win probability, compared with 51.8% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Kawasaki Frontale U21 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kawasaki Frontale U21 Tokyo Verdy U21

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Kawasaki Frontale U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kawasaki Frontale U21 Tokyo Verdy U21

Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.3

Kawasaki Frontale U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kawasaki Frontale U21 Tokyo Verdy U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Kawasaki Frontale U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Kawasaki Frontale U21 ↑ +0.04 (+2.3%)

Tokyo Verdy U21 ↑ +0.30 (+9.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.