Shimizu S-Pulse U21 vs Jubilo Iwata U21

03 Oct 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Shimizu S-Pulse U21

Jubilo Iwata U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.8% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 42.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% 2.40 DRAW 22.5% 4.00 AWAY 40.0% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Jubilo Iwata U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.8% win probability, compared with 40.0% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Jubilo Iwata U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shimizu S-Pulse U21 Jubilo Iwata U21

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Jubilo Iwata U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shimizu S-Pulse U21 Jubilo Iwata U21

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Jubilo Iwata U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shimizu S-Pulse U21 Jubilo Iwata U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Jubilo Iwata U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shimizu S-Pulse U21 = (0.0%)

Jubilo Iwata U21 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.