CE Europa (W) vs Villarreal (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

CE Europa (W)

Villarreal (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.7% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 43.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.4% 2.88 DRAW 25.0% 3.95 AWAY 40.6% 2.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Villarreal (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CE Europa (W) Villarreal (W)

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 15.0 · On target 8.8

Recent attacking output favours Villarreal (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CE Europa (W) Villarreal (W)

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0

CE Europa (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CE Europa (W) Villarreal (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Villarreal (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CE Europa (W) ↓ -0.53 (-15.4%)

Villarreal (W) ↑ +0.52 (+27.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.