Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

02 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 29.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% 2.00 DRAW 22.4% 4.40 AWAY 28.5% 3.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Vikingur Reykjavik (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Thor/KA Akureyri (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) ↓ -0.05 (-2.4%)

Thor/KA Akureyri (W) ↑ +0.82 (+31.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.