Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)

02 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Fram Reykjavik (W)

Valur Reykjavik (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.0% DRAW 19.8% AWAY 53.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.6% 3.49 DRAW 21.0% 4.58 AWAY 51.4% 1.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fram Reykjavik (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fram Reykjavik (W) Valur Reykjavik (W)

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fram Reykjavik (W) Valur Reykjavik (W)

Shots allowed 18.8 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Valur Reykjavik (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fram Reykjavik (W) Valur Reykjavik (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Fram Reykjavik (W) ↑ +0.39 (+12.6%)

Valur Reykjavik (W) ↓ -0.18 (-8.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.